Our communities rely on excellent service from very long-lived infrastructure. Infrastructure that will almost certainly outlast not just our careers but probably our lives.
We all enjoy the benefits provided by these assets and we strive to do even better for future generations.
But we have all experienced the deficiencies in asset capacity borne from the difficulties of forecasting a realistic future for the asset sets we manage.
We can pretty confidently look back and see where our predecessor’s mis-stepped in their forecasts and often even identify and understand how and where they went wrong, such is the advantage of hindsight.
There will be change in all things, technology, values, wisdom.
We need to understand this change, embrace and plan for it.
The future is as uncertain now as it always has been, and we have yet to discover that elusive crystal ball!
Waugh were fortunate to have been invited to assist a client who was cognisant of the limitations of the traditional “existing plus growth” approach.
They allowed us to help them broaden and expand their view of possible futures, and from this knowledge forecast solutions for water and wastewater services.
Very! Broad is very broad indeed. We accepted that the future was unknown and that the views of the people of the future were equally unknown. Their values and thinking, prioritisation and acceptance will be different and possible quite radically so.
The only certainty with a forecast into the distant future is that it will be wrong. Increased knowledge and the combined wisdom of multiple parties was our chosen way to minimise how wrong we would be.
We managed this through collaboration with multiple parties from District and Regional Councils, various Ministries, business and iwi groups, and ultimately scenario development.
The collaboration was supported with research into various legislative instruments, policies and guidance with a focus on the intention rather than the specific application of detail.
“Wisdom is not what comes from reading great books. When it comes to understanding life, experiential learning is the only worthwhile kind, everything else is hearsay” – Joan Erikson
We became acutely aware of the needs of the Community and how the water and wastewater services contributed to meeting those needs.
- Public Health,
- Culture and Traditions,
- Ecology and
- Future Needs and Risk,
while not ground-breaking, were no longer disconnected from our
We more confidently understand where new, different or improved services are likely to be needed and, most importantly, why they will be needed.
Armed with collaboratively developed, understood and
Analysis of the District aligning the Needs and Contributions to the community’s unique structure and environment will enable a matrix of solution scenarios to be developed and compared.